Applicants Most Frequently Asked Question
Over the years, the number one question asked by those applying for U. S. Diversity Visas has been this: “When will my interview be?”. This same question will undoubtedly dominate DV forums when the DV 2020 results are released in just over a week.
To answer this question, one is usually referred to the visa bulletin. So, what in essence is this “visa bulletin,” and how do you use it to know your approximate interview date? In this article, we are going to concern ourselves ONLY with the section of the Visa Bulletin related to the Diversity Immigrant Visa (DV) program.
The Visa Bulletin
The visa bulletin is simply a chart/table that displays up to what case number are to be interviewed in a two-consecutive-month period (considering the final case number interviewed the previous month). In other words, it tells from which case number to which case number will be interviewed in the coming two months.
We say such case numbers are “current”, i.e. they have come within the “interview range”. Provided such cases submitted their DS-260 form AND their required documents several weeks – if not months – earlier, they are bound to be notified of their interview. The notification generally takes place about two months to the interview.
The Visa Bulletin is published by the Bureau of Consular Affairs of the U. S. State Department on their official website during the first or second week in each month (from the 5th to the 15th of the month, officially; although sometimes it is “delayed,” and only appears on their website a few days into the third week), and it concerns all the different types of immigrant visa applications. But as mentioned above, this article only deals with the Diversity Immigrant Visa (DV) section of the Visa Bulletin.
The DV Section of the Visa Bulletin (VB) has two components, showing information for the two consecutive months that follow the month the VB is released:
- the DV Category for the Month of ______. (i.e. case numbers to be interviewed in the month immediately following the month the VB is released), and
- the DV Category rank cut-offs which will apply in the month of _______. (i.e. case numbers to be interviewed the month right after that).
Now, let’s go into that.
The first component in a given VB – Number 1 above – shows information for the month that immediately follows the month of release of the VB in question. Component 2 (Number 2 above), on the other hand provides the same type of information for the second month after the release of the VB in question.
Component 1 in a given VB does not feature in the VB that follows. Component 2 in a given VB becomes Component 1 in the next VB, and the new Component 2 would be information about the next month in line. For example, the VB released in January (and referred to as “Visa Bulletin for February”), contains information for the month of February (and March).
Firstly, it will NOT show information about January, the month in which it was released. Instead, it will give information for February (in its first component), and for March (in its second component). When the next VB is released in February, information about February will no longer feature on it. It’s now the “Visa Bulletin for March”, but will contain what is expected in April, and so on.
That is the sequence in which VBs are released. This allows a continuous “rolling out” of two consecutive months at a time, throughout the year.
What to remember
- the VB is published between the 5th and the 15th of every month
- the DV Category shows up to what case number is supposed to be interviewed in the next one/two months in each region
- it does not contain information about the month in which it is released
- it is rather about, and consequently contains information on: a. the month that immediately follows its month of release (in the first component) b. the second month after its month of release (in the second component)
Summary of the most recent VB from all regions
|2020||2,500; Except Egypt: 1,500||5,600||12,000||19,000; Except Egypt: 10,000||25,000; Except Egypt: 16,000|
|2019||2750||6400||9800||13100||13800||15300||18900||24500||37,200; Except Egypt: 21,110||Current; Except Egypt: 23,400||Current||Current|
AMERICA, NORTH (BAHAMAS)
AMERICA, SOUTH and the CARIBBEAN
|2020||1,300; Except Iran:750, Nepal: 1,000||3,500||6,000||8,200; Except Iran:5,100, Nepal: 6,500||12,000; Except Iran:6,500, Nepal: 7,575|
|2019||1000||1600||2900||3800||4400||5000||6400||7800||10,000; Except Nepal: 5,775||Current; Except Nepal: 6,275||Current||Current|
What are these numbers saying?
Let’s consider information for Fiscal Year 2019 in the chart relating to Oceania just above, for example. The first cut-off number in FY 2019 in that chart (i.e. for October 2018) is 100. It means, during the month of October 2018, only case numbers below 100 were interviewed in the Oceania Region. For the month of November 2018, case numbers interviewed there were the ones found in the range 100 to less than 200 (i.e. 199). For December 2018, those from 200 to less than 290 (i.e. 289), and so on.
How to determine your approximate interview date
The way to determine your DV interview date approximately is by looking at VBs from recent years to see in which month case numbers close to yours were scheduled for interview. Once you determine that, you then extrapolate; i.e. you somewhat conclude that your case number would be scheduled for interview around the same time as other numbers close to it were, the year(s) before.
Let’s consider the above table for the the sake of explanation. When the results are released in just over a week’s time, we can say that someone in the Europe Region with a Case Number 3500 will most certainly be scheduled for interview in November. That is because case numbers around 3500 were scheduled in November during the DV 2018 and DV 2019 Programs.
This is how one goes about determining his/her interview month. That’s why we usually use the word “approximate” when predicting one’s interview time. When it comes to the exact date of the interview, you only get to know it when you receive your NL2 in which all your interview details will be spelled out.
Exercise Some Level of Caution
It could be tricky if your case number is close to a past cut-off number. In that case, it could fall in either of the months bordering that cut-off number this time around.
Moreover, whenever there is a major change in the DV procedure, it affects how cases are scheduled, especially at the beginning of the fiscal year. Certain procedural changes may speed up the rate of interviews scheduled, thereby increasing the cut-off numbers at the beginning of the fiscal year, while others tend to slow down that rate, and consequently reduce the cut-off numbers at the beginning of the fiscal year.
Generally in about mid fiscal year, however, the fast or slow interview rate is normalized by KCC. (Because of this, it is much more difficult to make predictions regarding case numbers to be scheduled at the beginning of the fiscal year than toward the end).
Effect Caused by Procedural Change
The latest major change in DV procedure occurred at the beginning of this fiscal year (from October 2018). You can learn about what that change entails in this article I published a couple of months ago. Considering the table above, one notice that this latest change in procedure mainly affected the Africa region. It is the only region among the six that experienced significant drop in its cut-off numbers at the beginning of the fiscal year. All others appear quite normal.
You can notice from the two or three most recent VB on the Africa region (published in mid fiscal year 2019) that the cut-off numbers are being normalized. Comparing VBs from this fiscal year (2019) to those of previous years, it’s only from April that the cut-off numbers come within their normal range, hence their “normalization”.
With the Africa region normalized after the most recent procedural change mentioned above, a new cut-off numbers pattern may now apply at the beginning of upcoming fiscal years, until a another major procedure comes into play some time down the road.