VERY IMPORTANT

A MUST-READ FOR DV 2024 APPLICANTS: Based on comments and questions I continue to receive from DV 2024 applicants, I must clarify the following:

It is mentioned below that the data in the charts in this article are based on interpolations from recent years. Meaning the case number ranges, the classifications, the chances, as well as the likely time of interview were all derived at from the case numbering system applied to recent Diversity Visa programs.

However, it has been observed that the DV 2024 case numbering system is different from that of recent years, and therefore does not align with the ‘norms’ presented in the article. As a result, the contents of this article do not apply in the case of the DV 2024 Program.

I have provided more explanation to that effect in this article. Thank you! 

 

The Basis for Scheduling

A case number is the basis for when a Diversity Visa case is to be scheduled for interview. As such, its position in a region is a major preoccupation for most applicants.

I’m therefore writing this article to provide applicants – especially those who are unaware – with a kind of estimate of what could be considered low, medium or high case number in their region, as well as when different case numbers can expect to be interviewed during the Program year.

[CLICK HERE to jump to Case Number Tables] or continue reading the article below.

Interviews in each region begin with the lowest case numbers and progress to high ones as the fiscal year goes on. This gives cases with low case number a higher chance of being interviewed than those with high ones. 

Concerning the tables below, let me include the following notes:

NOTE:

1. The below are estimates intended to serve as ‘signposts’ and should be considered as such.

2. A position and a ‘likely’ time of interview have been assigned to each case number range established. This concept is not official. It is however based on the fact that low case numbers have less risk than higher ones

3. The details shown for each case number range (which are subject to adjustment) are approximate values based on interpolations from recent years. As such, some case numbers may fall in a neighboring range in reality. 

That being indicated, the following tables show – by region – low, average and high case numbers, and when cases in each range can look forward to be interviewed.

IMPORTANT: Under normal circumstances, interview notifications are sent out to applicants during the second month (5 – 10 weeks) before their interview

It must be also be noted that the highest case numbers in each region may never be scheduled for interview as the Program year may come to an end or visas run out before scheduling reaches them.

AFRICA

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 10000 Low Very High October – January
10000 – Below 20000 Relatively Low High January – March
20000 – Below 30000 Average Good March – June

30000 – Below 40000

Relatively High

Fair

June – August or when
AF goes current;

40000 & Above High Low Aug. – Sept. or when
AF goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

Except:

EGYPT

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 4000 Low Very High October – December
4000 – Below 8000 Relatively Low High January – March
8000 – Below 12000 Average Good March – May

12000 – Below 15000

Relatively High

Fair

May – July or when
Egypt goes current;

15000 & Above High Low Aug. – Sept. or when
Egypt goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

AMERICA, NORTH (THE BAHAMAS)

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 5 Low Very High October – January
5 & 6 Relatively Low Very High January – March
7 & 8 Average High March – June

9 & 10

Relatively High

Good

June – August or when
NA goes current;

Above 10 High Fair Aug. – Sept. or when
NA goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

 

AMERICA, SOUTH and the CARIBBEAN

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 500 Low Very High October – January
500 – Below 750 Relatively Low High January – March
750 – Below 1000 Average Good April – May

1000 – Below 1500

Relatively High

Fair

June – July or when
SA goes current;

1500 & Above High Low Aug. – Sept. or when
SA goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

ASIA

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 3500 Low Very High October – January
3500 – Below 5000 Relatively Low High January – March
5000 – Below 7500 Average Good March – June

7500 – 10000

Relatively High

Fair

June – August or when
AS goes current;

Above 10000 High Low Aug. – Sept. or when
AS goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

 

Except:

IRAN

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 1000 Low Very High October – November
1000 – Below 2500 Relatively Low High November – December
2500 – Below 5000 Average Good December – March

5000 – Below 6500

Relatively High

Fair

March – June or when
Iran goes current;

6500 & Above High Low June – Sept. or when
Iran goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

NEPAL

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 1000 Low Very High October – November
1000 – Below 2000 Relatively Low High November – December
2000 – Below 4000 Average Good December – March

4000 – Below 6000

Relatively High

Fair

March – June or when
Nepal goes current;

Above 6000 High Low June – Sept. or when
Nepal goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

EUROPE

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 7500 Low Very High October – January
7500 – Below 10000 Relatively Low High January – March
10000 – Below 18000 Average Good March – June

18000 – Below 25000

Relatively High

Fair

June – August or when
EU goes current;

25000 & Above High Low Aug. – Sept. or when
EU goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

OCEANIA

Case Number Classification Chances Likely Interview Time
Below 400 Low Very High October – January
400 – Below 600 Relatively Low High January – March
600 – Below 950 Average Good March – June

950 – Below 1400

Relatively High

Fair

June – August or when
OC goes current;

1400 & Above High Low Aug. – Sept. or when
OC goes current; Note: may not get interviewed

FINAL NOTE

 As the above is intended to only serve as ‘signposts’, be sure to regularly follow the State Department’s Visa Bulletin to know the actual monthly cut-offs that will apply in your region

SUGGESTED: For indepth explanation regarding case numbers, read this article.

 

 

75 thoughts on “Low and High Case Numbers

  1. Hello my case number is between EU35xxx-36xxx. Would you say I have a high or low number? What chance do I have to get interviewed? I am from Albania.

    Thank you in advance!!!

  2. Hello I applied and got picked for the dv lottery 2024 in may and submitted my application in June. I am in Somalia and my case number is 2024AF5167x what are the chances I get an interview. Thank you

  3. Hello and thank you for your support! please am 2024 DV winner and my case number is AF33xxx please I’m likely to be interviewed.

  4. Hello,
    Is there any chance to know for the highest DV 2024 ASxxxxxxx case number so far?
    Thanks and appreciated

    1. Hi: You can not be sure what the highest case number is for now, but you may get an idea of its range/vicinity based on what other applicants have reported.

      1. Hi Trodvies,

        Thank you for your reply.
        I am worry about my case id 34xxx. However, I heard about high case number in most of the region this year. And also heard AS52xxx from somewhere but i am not sure is it correct or not.
        By the way, do you know last year 2023 highest case number for ASIA if possible?
        Sorry to bother you.

        1. I Have case number is AS13xxx. How is my chancexof interview and when will be the projected month for interview?

  5. Hello Trodvies, my case number is 2024EU29xxx, is this a high case number? What are my chances for interview? Thank you in advance!

  6. I was selected for the DV2023 from Iran and my case number is 12600. Do I get a chance to be interviewed?

  7. I’m from Liberia with the case number of 114*** dose I have a chance of getting interview

  8. Hi Trodvies,
    My name is Nadege from Congo DR.
    My Case number is 2023AF15XX.
    I submitted my DS260 in Feb. 2023.
    Do i stand a chance to get my interview date any moment from now?

  9. Good afternoon. My case number is 24EU38XXX . Even before the announcement of the results, we moved to Portugal and, accordingly, the consulate, where we can have an interview, changed to French. Could this affect the chances of being invited for an interview? If we were in Belarus, we could have interviews in Warsaw, where there are also winners from Russia (5500), Belarus (1800) and Poland (600). There are about 8000 in total. And from France, about 600 people won and they only process 600 applications. It seems to me that this may affect the chances of being called for an interview.

  10. Hi. My cn is 2023EU29XXX. I’ve got a mail from KCC where they said that my case number is now current for interview processing. What does it mean and do i have chance that the interview date will have been scheduled?

    1. 1. It means that your case has been added to your embassy queue.
      2. Your interview will only be scheduled if your case gets to the front of the queue BEFORE scheduling of DV 2023 interviews ends.

  11. Case number OC15**
    Thoughts? I’m being thrown with hearing there are Oceania case numbers in the 4500+ range

  12. I’m in asia srilanka my cn 20976
    Colombo performance 2nl 18709
    Can I get 2nl in next few weeks
    Cutoff number as21000

  13. What is the highest number for asia region in DV lottery 2024?

  14. Hi, I am one of the selectee of DV2024, and I believe my case number is very high AS34*** , I have already summitted my D260 but do you think that I will be interviewed ? Based on your chart and data, it is impossible. I have lost all my hope and beliefs

    1. Please don’t lose hope! If you read the notes I included in the article, it is indicated that the data in the charts are based on interpolations from recent years. The DV 2024 case numbering system is an exception that doesn’t respect the standard set in the article. (I’m going to mention that at the beginning of the article right now).

      So, it is not impossible for DV 2024. With the DV 2024 case numbering system, you have a good chance. Whether you are interviewed or not at the end of the day will largely depend on your assigned embassy.

      1. Thanks a lot for your reply ! Please share the “the new numbering system” whenever you could because we all have a lot of dreams and ambitions about DV2024. I

        1. You’re welcome!

          To come up with a “numbering system”, one has to interpolate the data from a few years. As such, sharing a “new numbering system” will not be possible before the DV-2024 Program comes to an end.

  15. Why is that? What’s the problem for embassies to interview all random winners? You have to get lucky twice? I don’t get it.

    1. They can’t interview everyone because the visas available can not serve all of them. That’s what the DV Program is about.

      1. That does not make any sense ! They can only select 55K people and make sure they are all interviewed, would you give hope to many people then you take all the dreams! Basically, you have to be lucky twice , first in the lottery and secondly the lottery of being selected to the interview.

  16. Please, I would like to know the chances available for an interview for case number 2024AF00033###. Thank you

    1. The US embassy – Ghana.
      I read they are under performing, but I hope they do will the next FY
      I will be glad if you could help explain the risk and advantages available if one want’s to change the interview location to a third country due to local/ regional embassy under performing, high cs number, lack of interview dates due to backlogs.

  17. Hi,
    My case Number in Asia, AS 3xxxx in DV lottery 2024. Is there any chances to get interview? If available, when will it?

    1. My case number is very close to yours and I am pretty sure that none of us will be interviewed.

  18. I AM FROM LIBERIA AND MY CASE NUMBER IS 2024AF001051XX DO I HAVE THE CHANCE FOR AN INTERVIEW?

  19. Hello dear respected sir;
    I am a DV lottery winner from Afghanistan my case number in around 22000. The case numbers for Asis raised to 21000 for July. We have 2 months, August and September left. Is there any possibility that in these 2 remaining months, the case numbers for Asia reach to 22000 or I have no chance. I much respect and apperciate your kind anwers, thank you in adcance.

  20. I was selected for further processing for the DV2024. I’m an F-1 visa holder so I’ll be adjusting my status. My case number is 2024SA000032XX and based on your article, chances of being interviewed with a case number of over 1500 is low in my region. Currently, the visa bulletin cutoff is at 2740 for DV2023. Can you please explain your reasoning for the 1500 cutoff?

    1. When the selection process affects what has been ‘normal’ case number ranges for a number of years by extending the highest case numbers, that obviously affects the classifications, chances and likely interview time.

      That’s the case of DV-2023; and even more – as we are currently observing – with DV-2024. And that’s the essence of the NOTES both before and after the cut-off tables. Consider Note # 3 (before) and the final note (after).

      I think I should add an additional note to clarify for those who don’t understand what the current notes mean and may have similar questions.

      Thanks for the comment.

    2. First of all many thanks for your kind responses.
      I am from Iran and my case number is close to18000. Do I have the chance to get the second letter?
      Thank you so much in advance.

  21. So does it mean that, with high case number you could be rejected even though you’ve won the dv lottery.

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